-135 is a disastrous price! You can get +100 @ Betfair and -102 @ Mansion. -105 is widely available. You must truly be a mad actuarian to lay -135.
Anyway, I'm leaning towards Die Roten -0.5 but not sure I'm going to pull the trigger... Maybe if the line moves in my favour or if Chriscol is on Hannover too.
Player info from Total CTRL:
GER 1.Bundesliga, Injuries, November 3 - 02.11.2006
Hannover 13 BRDARIC Thomas FRLC ** INJURED 4 / 9
Hannover 8 LALA Altin (cpt.) DMC ** INJURED 3 / 9
Hannover 9 THORVALDSSON Gunnar Heidar SC * INJURED 0 / 9
Hannover 35 HALFAR Sören D/ML * INJURED Long-term 0 / 9
Hannover 4 TROEST Jonas DRLC * SUSPENDED 0 / 9
Bochum 3 MEICHELBECK Martin DLC * BACK from injury 0 / 9
Bochum 16 MISIMOVIC Zvjezdan AMC *** INJURED 8 / 9
Bochum 4 MALTRITZ Marcel D/DMC ** SUSPENDED 9 / 9
Bochum 20 AUER Benjamin SC ** INJURED 1 / 9
Bochum 7 BECHMANN Tommy FW * INJURED 0 / 9
Anyway, I'm leaning towards Die Roten -0.5 but not sure I'm going to pull the trigger... Maybe if the line moves in my favour or if Chriscol is on Hannover too.
Player info from Total CTRL:
GER 1.Bundesliga, Injuries, November 3 - 02.11.2006
Hannover 13 BRDARIC Thomas FRLC ** INJURED 4 / 9
Hannover 8 LALA Altin (cpt.) DMC ** INJURED 3 / 9
Hannover 9 THORVALDSSON Gunnar Heidar SC * INJURED 0 / 9
Hannover 35 HALFAR Sören D/ML * INJURED Long-term 0 / 9
Hannover 4 TROEST Jonas DRLC * SUSPENDED 0 / 9
Bochum 3 MEICHELBECK Martin DLC * BACK from injury 0 / 9
Bochum 16 MISIMOVIC Zvjezdan AMC *** INJURED 8 / 9
Bochum 4 MALTRITZ Marcel D/DMC ** SUSPENDED 9 / 9
Bochum 20 AUER Benjamin SC ** INJURED 1 / 9
Bochum 7 BECHMANN Tommy FW * INJURED 0 / 9
I would never cover a draw on a price like -135 ... imo, it kills your ROI. If Hannover wins at -135 (1.74) you're talking 5 x 1.74 = 3.74 units minus the 2.5 units you bet on the draw for a 1.24 profit. so you laid 7.5 units to win 1.24 ? I see many people on this forum doing the draw cover and it is not the right way to bet, particularly with a favorite
Sorry gents,
Let’s try to clear this probable misunderstanding:
1 - My book is local: I meet him face to face. His web site is set up offshore.
2 – His soccer lines are limited: weekend Serie A, Spanish, Le Championat, English, and Bundesliga, and Champions league.
3 – Sometimes he has Eufa (example: yesterday he did not….which meant no profits from the Palermo under)
4 – Today: 1-2-X line for the Hannover game; no -0.5 goals and no total…go figure.
5 – 5 units for Hannover to WIN at -135 would yield – if won – 5 units
subtract -2.5 units for the draw loss and you would be left with 2.5 units profits.
If a tie: 5 units x 1.35 for a loss of 6.75
+
2.5 units x 2.3 draw = 5.75 win
For a grand total loss of: 6.75-5.75 = 1 unit loss
Of course, the above are all in consideration if HANNOVER DOES NOT LOSE.
I would like to force a play on this game for a potential profit of 2 to 3 units…. These “bonus” units would be reinvested on a “Mad” total play on weekend Serie A action. Specifically,
Palermo under 2.5 goals for 10 units (instead of seven, thanks to the winner that you gents will provide me on this game..haha). You see, I would put in that play right away, but, once again, my local has no futures. I have had healthy profits from Saturday to today…so am willing to take a few risks with my mad approach.
Thanks for your help – AND GIVE ME A WINNER.
The MA
Let’s try to clear this probable misunderstanding:
1 - My book is local: I meet him face to face. His web site is set up offshore.
2 – His soccer lines are limited: weekend Serie A, Spanish, Le Championat, English, and Bundesliga, and Champions league.
3 – Sometimes he has Eufa (example: yesterday he did not….which meant no profits from the Palermo under)
4 – Today: 1-2-X line for the Hannover game; no -0.5 goals and no total…go figure.
5 – 5 units for Hannover to WIN at -135 would yield – if won – 5 units
subtract -2.5 units for the draw loss and you would be left with 2.5 units profits.
If a tie: 5 units x 1.35 for a loss of 6.75
+
2.5 units x 2.3 draw = 5.75 win
For a grand total loss of: 6.75-5.75 = 1 unit loss
Of course, the above are all in consideration if HANNOVER DOES NOT LOSE.
I would like to force a play on this game for a potential profit of 2 to 3 units…. These “bonus” units would be reinvested on a “Mad” total play on weekend Serie A action. Specifically,
Palermo under 2.5 goals for 10 units (instead of seven, thanks to the winner that you gents will provide me on this game..haha). You see, I would put in that play right away, but, once again, my local has no futures. I have had healthy profits from Saturday to today…so am willing to take a few risks with my mad approach.
Thanks for your help – AND GIVE ME A WINNER.
The MA
this looks like a draw to me.
Bochum has scored in every away match so far and on paper Hannover should have a good chance of winning this after their recent two good performances at Dortmund and at Hamburg. So probably the over is a good play, but to play a 1x and say Bochum will not win is way too risky IMO. Both teams are still at the bottom and struggeling. nerves will play a big role and the first goal might have a big influence. If Bochum scores first they can very easy be the winner tonight.
Bochum has scored in every away match so far and on paper Hannover should have a good chance of winning this after their recent two good performances at Dortmund and at Hamburg. So probably the over is a good play, but to play a 1x and say Bochum will not win is way too risky IMO. Both teams are still at the bottom and struggeling. nerves will play a big role and the first goal might have a big influence. If Bochum scores first they can very easy be the winner tonight.
thanks for the input,
Sometimes the best wager is the one you never place. It's taken me 20 years
of cappin to learn that.
I will pass on the Hannover, and stick to what I do best Serie A and Spanish
foot. See you on the weekend for two games:
Roma/Fiorentina and Palermo/Samp
Cheers and good luck.
Sometimes the best wager is the one you never place. It's taken me 20 years
of cappin to learn that.
I will pass on the Hannover, and stick to what I do best Serie A and Spanish
foot. See you on the weekend for two games:
Roma/Fiorentina and Palermo/Samp
Cheers and good luck.
